{"id":419,"date":"2008-01-01T14:55:00","date_gmt":"2008-01-01T22:55:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.argee.net\/wordpress\/?p=419"},"modified":"2012-06-03T08:33:51","modified_gmt":"2012-06-03T15:33:51","slug":"in-2008-a-100-percent-chance-of-alarm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/?p=419","title":{"rendered":"In 2008, a 100 Percent Chance of Alarm"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"mr_social_sharing_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<!-- Social Sharing Toolkit v2.2 --><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><span style=\"display: inline-block; width: 51px; height: 21px; overflow: hidden;\"><div class=\"fb-like\" data-href=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/?p=419\" data-send=\"false\" data-width=\"51\" data-show-faces=\"false\"><\/div><\/span><\/span><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><fb:share-button type=\"button\" href=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/?p=419\"><\/fb:share-button><\/span><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/share\" class=\"twitter-share-button\" data-count=\"none\" data-url=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/?p=419\" data-text=\"In 2008, a 100 Percent Chance of Alarm\"><\/a><\/span><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><div class=\"g-plusone\" data-size=\"medium\" data-annotation=\"none\" data-href=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/?p=419\"><\/div><\/span><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><a class=\"mr_social_share_digg\" href=\"http:\/\/digg.com\/submit?url=https%3A%2F%2Fthrawnrickle.com%2F%3Fp%3D419&amp;title=In+2008%2C+a+100+Percent+Chance+of+Alarm\" class=\"mr_social_sharing_popup_link\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/social-sharing-toolkit\/images\/buttons\/digg.png\" class=\"nopin\" alt=\"Digg This\" title=\"Digg This\"\/><\/a><\/span><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><a class=\"mr_social_share_reddit\" href=\"http:\/\/www.reddit.com\/submit?url=https%3A%2F%2Fthrawnrickle.com%2F%3Fp%3D419\" class=\"mr_social_sharing_popup_link\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/social-sharing-toolkit\/images\/buttons\/reddit.png\" class=\"nopin\" alt=\"Submit to reddit\" title=\"Submit to reddit\"\/><\/a><\/span><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><a rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"linksalpha_button linksalpha_link\" href=\"\/\/www.linksalpha.com\/social\/mobile\" data-url=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/?p=419\" data-text=\"In 2008, a 100 Percent Chance of Alarm\" data-desc=\"This article,\u00a0written by\u00a0JOHN TIERNEY, appeared in\u00a0The New York Times\u00a0Science section\u00a0on January 1, 2008. It is remarkable in that, for the first time, this newspaper is headlining what we have been saying all along: The Global Warming hysteria is just that. \u00a0 I\u2019d\" data-image=\"\" data-button=\"\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/\/www.linksalpha.com\/images\/social_share_button.png\" alt=\"Share\" class=\"linksalpha_image\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a><script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"\/\/www.linksalpha.com\/scripts\/loader_iconbox.js?v=2.4\"><\/script><\/span><\/div><p><SPAN style=\"WIDOWS: 2; TEXT-TRANSFORM: none; TEXT-INDENT: 0px; BORDER-COLLAPSE: separate; FONT: medium 'Times New Roman'; WHITE-SPACE: normal; ORPHANS: 2; LETTER-SPACING: normal; COLOR: rgb(0,0,0); WORD-SPACING: 0px; -webkit-border-horizontal-spacing: 0px; -webkit-border-vertical-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-decorations-in-effect: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: auto; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px\" class=Apple-style-span><SPAN style=\"TEXT-ALIGN: left; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica; FONT-SIZE: 11px\" class=Apple-style-span><br \/>\n<P style=\"FONT-STYLE: italic; MARGIN: auto 5em; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: rgb(0,0,153); FONT-SIZE: 10px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" class=preamble sourceindex=\"504\">This article,&nbsp;written by&nbsp;<A style=\"COLOR: rgb(0,51,102); TEXT-DECORATION: none\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/top\/reference\/timestopics\/people\/t\/john_tierney\/index.html?inline=nyt-per\" target=_blank sourceindex=\"505\">JOHN TIERNEY<\/A>, appeared in<SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN><A style=\"COLOR: rgb(0,51,102); TEXT-DECORATION: none\" href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2008\/01\/01\/science\/01tier.html?_r=2&amp;ref=science&amp;oref=slogin&amp;oref=slogin\" target=_blank sourceindex=\"506\"><EM sourceindex=\"507\">The New York Times<\/EM><SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN>Science section<\/A><SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN>on January 1, 2008. It is remarkable in that, for the first time, this newspaper is headlining what we have been saying all along: The Global Warming hysteria is just that.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"508\">&nbsp;<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"509\">I\u2019d like to wish you a happy New Year, but I\u2019m afraid I have a different sort of prediction.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"510\">You\u2019re in for very bad weather. In 2008, your television will bring you image after frightening image of natural havoc linked to<SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN><A style=\"COLOR: rgb(0,51,102); TEXT-DECORATION: none\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/top\/news\/science\/topics\/globalwarming\/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier\" target=_blank sourceindex=\"511\">global warming<\/A>. You will be told that such bizarre weather must be a sign of dangerous climate change \u2014 and that these images are a mere preview of what\u2019s in store unless we act quickly to cool the planet.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"512\">Unfortunately, I can\u2019t be more specific. I don\u2019t know if disaster will come by flood or drought, hurricane or blizzard, fire or ice. Nor do I have any idea how much the planet will warm this year or what that means for your local forecast. Long-term climate models cannot explain short-term weather.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"513\">But there\u2019s bound to be some weird weather somewhere, and we will react like the sailors in the Book of Jonah. When a storm hit their ship, they didn\u2019t ascribe it to a seasonal weather pattern. They quickly identified the cause (Jonah\u2019s sinfulness) and agreed to an appropriate policy response (throw Jonah overboard).<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"514\">Today\u2019s interpreters of the weather are what social scientists call availability entrepreneurs: the activists, journalists and publicity-savvy scientists who selectively monitor the globe looking for newsworthy evidence of a new form of sinfulness, burning fossil fuels.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"515\">A year ago, British meteorologists made headlines predicting that the buildup of greenhouse gases would help make 2007 the hottest year on record. At year\u2019s end, even though the British scientists reported the global temperature average was not a new record \u2014 it was actually lower than any year since 2001 \u2014 the BBC confidently proclaimed, \u201c2007 Data Confirms Warming Trend.\u201d<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"516\">When the Arctic sea ice last year hit the lowest level ever recorded by satellites, it was big news and heralded as a sign that the whole planet was warming. When the Antarctic sea ice last year reached the highest level ever recorded by satellites, it was pretty much ignored. A large part of Antarctica has been cooling recently, but most coverage of that continent has focused on one small part that has warmed.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"517\">When Hurricane Katrina flooded New Orleans in 2005, it was supposed to be a harbinger of the stormier world predicted by some climate modelers. When the next two hurricane seasons were fairly calm \u2014 by some measures, last season in the Northern Hemisphere was the calmest in three decades \u2014 the availability entrepreneurs changed the subject. Droughts in California and Australia became the new harbingers of climate change (never mind that a warmer planet is projected to have more, not less, precipitation over all).<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"518\">The most charitable excuse for this bias in weather divination is that the entrepreneurs are trying to offset another bias. The planet has indeed gotten warmer, and it is projected to keep warming because of greenhouse emissions, but this process is too slow to make much impact on the public.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"519\">When judging risks, we often go wrong by using what\u2019s called the availability heuristic: we gauge a danger according to how many examples of it are readily available in our minds. Thus we overestimate the odds of dying in a terrorist attack or a plane crash because we\u2019ve seen such dramatic deaths so often on television; we underestimate the risks of dying from a stroke because we don\u2019t have so many vivid images readily available.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"520\">Slow warming doesn\u2019t make for memorable images on television or in people\u2019s minds, so activists, journalists and scientists have looked to<SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN><A style=\"COLOR: rgb(0,51,102); TEXT-DECORATION: none\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/top\/reference\/timestopics\/subjects\/h\/hurricanes_and_tropical_storms\/index.html?inline=nyt-classifier\" target=_blank sourceindex=\"521\">hurricanes<\/A>, wild fires and starving polar bears instead. They have used these images to start an \u201cavailability cascade,\u201d a term coined by Timur Kuran, a professor of economics and law at the<SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN><A style=\"COLOR: rgb(0,51,102); TEXT-DECORATION: none\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/top\/reference\/timestopics\/organizations\/u\/university_of_southern_california\/index.html?inline=nyt-org\" target=_blank sourceindex=\"522\">University of Southern California<\/A>, and<SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN><A style=\"COLOR: rgb(0,51,102); TEXT-DECORATION: none\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/top\/reference\/timestopics\/people\/s\/cass_r_sunstein\/index.html?inline=nyt-per\" target=_blank sourceindex=\"523\">Cass R. Sunstein<\/A>, a law professor at the<SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN><A style=\"COLOR: rgb(0,51,102); TEXT-DECORATION: none\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/top\/reference\/timestopics\/organizations\/u\/university_of_chicago\/index.html?inline=nyt-org\" target=_blank sourceindex=\"524\">University of Chicago<\/A>.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"525\">The availability cascade is a self-perpetuating process: the more attention a danger gets, the more worried people become, leading to more news coverage and more fear. Once the images of Sept. 11 made terrorism seem a major threat, the press and the police lavished attention on potential new attacks and supposed plots. After Three Mile Island and \u201cThe China Syndrome,\u201d minor malfunctions at nuclear power plants suddenly became newsworthy.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"526\">\u201cMany people concerned about climate change,\u201d Dr. Sunstein says, \u201cwant to create an availability cascade by fixing an incident in people\u2019s minds. Hurricane Katrina is just an early example; there will be others. I don\u2019t doubt that climate change is real and that it presents a serious threat, but there\u2019s a danger that any \u2018consensus\u2019 on particular events or specific findings is, in part, a cascade.\u201d<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"527\">Once a cascade is under way, it becomes tough to sort out risks because experts become reluctant to dispute the popular wisdom, and are ignored if they do. Now that the melting Arctic has become the symbol of global warming, there\u2019s not much interest in hearing other explanations of why the ice is melting \u2014 or why the globe\u2019s other pole isn\u2019t melting, too.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"528\">Global warming has an impact on both polar regions, but they\u2019re also strongly influenced by regional weather patterns and ocean currents. Two studies by <A style=\"COLOR: rgb(0,51,102); TEXT-DECORATION: none\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/top\/reference\/timestopics\/organizations\/n\/national_aeronautics_and_space_administration\/index.html?inline=nyt-org\" target=_blank sourceindex=\"529\">NASA<\/A><SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN>and university scientists last year concluded that much of the recent melting of Arctic sea ice was related to a cyclical change in ocean currents and winds, but those studies got relatively little attention \u2014 and were certainly no match for the images of struggling polar bears so popular with availability entrepreneurs.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"530\">Roger A. Pielke Jr., a professor of environmental studies at the<SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN><A style=\"COLOR: rgb(0,51,102); TEXT-DECORATION: none\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/top\/reference\/timestopics\/organizations\/u\/university_of_colorado\/index.html?inline=nyt-org\" target=_blank sourceindex=\"531\">University of Colorado<\/A>, recently noted the very different reception received last year by two conflicting papers on the link between hurricanes and global warming. He counted 79 news articles about a paper in the<SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN><EM sourceindex=\"532\">Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society<\/EM>, and only 3 news articles about one in a far more prestigious journal,<SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN><EM sourceindex=\"533\">Nature<\/EM>.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"534\">Guess which paper jibed with the theory \u2014 and image of Katrina \u2014 presented by<SPAN class=Apple-converted-space>&nbsp;<\/SPAN><A style=\"COLOR: rgb(0,51,102); TEXT-DECORATION: none\" href=\"http:\/\/topics.nytimes.com\/top\/reference\/timestopics\/people\/g\/al_gore\/index.html?inline=nyt-per\" target=_blank sourceindex=\"535\">Al Gore<\/A>\u2019s \u201cInconvenient Truth\u201d?<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"536\">It was, of course, the paper in the more obscure journal, which suggested that global warming is creating more hurricanes. The paper in Nature concluded that global warming has a minimal effect on hurricanes. It was published in December \u2014 by coincidence, the same week that Mr. Gore received his Nobel Peace Prize.<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"537\">In his acceptance speech, Mr. Gore didn\u2019t dwell on the complexities of the hurricane debate. Nor, in his roundup of the 2007 weather, did he mention how calm the hurricane season had been. Instead, he alluded somewhat mysteriously to \u201cstronger storms in the Atlantic and Pacific,\u201d and focused on other kinds of disasters, like \u201cmassive droughts\u201d and \u201cmassive flooding.\u201d<\/P><br \/>\n<P style=\"MARGIN: 6px 0px 0px; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 11px; FONT-WEIGHT: normal\" sourceindex=\"538\" siber__q92dpb7seovvtbh5__vptr=\"7695a20\">\u201cIn the last few months,\u201d Mr. Gore said, \u201cit has been harder and harder to misinterpret the signs that our world is spinning out of kilter.\u201d But he was being too modest. Thanks to availability entrepreneurs like him, misinterpreting the weather is getting easier and easier.<\/P><\/SPAN><\/SPAN><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"mr_social_sharing_wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t<!-- Social Sharing Toolkit v2.2 --><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><span style=\"display: inline-block; width: 51px; height: 21px; overflow: hidden;\"><div class=\"fb-like\" data-href=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/?p=419\" data-send=\"false\" data-width=\"51\" data-show-faces=\"false\"><\/div><\/span><\/span><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><fb:share-button type=\"button\" href=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/?p=419\"><\/fb:share-button><\/span><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/share\" class=\"twitter-share-button\" data-count=\"none\" data-url=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/?p=419\" data-text=\"In 2008, a 100 Percent Chance of Alarm\"><\/a><\/span><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><div class=\"g-plusone\" data-size=\"medium\" data-annotation=\"none\" data-href=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/?p=419\"><\/div><\/span><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><a class=\"mr_social_share_digg\" href=\"http:\/\/digg.com\/submit?url=https%3A%2F%2Fthrawnrickle.com%2F%3Fp%3D419&amp;title=In+2008%2C+a+100+Percent+Chance+of+Alarm\" class=\"mr_social_sharing_popup_link\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/social-sharing-toolkit\/images\/buttons\/digg.png\" class=\"nopin\" alt=\"Digg This\" title=\"Digg This\"\/><\/a><\/span><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><a class=\"mr_social_share_reddit\" href=\"http:\/\/www.reddit.com\/submit?url=https%3A%2F%2Fthrawnrickle.com%2F%3Fp%3D419\" class=\"mr_social_sharing_popup_link\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/social-sharing-toolkit\/images\/buttons\/reddit.png\" class=\"nopin\" alt=\"Submit to reddit\" title=\"Submit to reddit\"\/><\/a><\/span><span class=\"mr_social_sharing\"><a rel=\"nofollow\" class=\"linksalpha_button linksalpha_link\" href=\"\/\/www.linksalpha.com\/social\/mobile\" data-url=\"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/?p=419\" data-text=\"In 2008, a 100 Percent Chance of Alarm\" data-desc=\"This article,\u00a0written by\u00a0JOHN TIERNEY, appeared in\u00a0The New York Times\u00a0Science section\u00a0on January 1, 2008. It is remarkable in that, for the first time, this newspaper is headlining what we have been saying all along: The Global Warming hysteria is just that. \u00a0 I\u2019d\" data-image=\"\" data-button=\"\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/\/www.linksalpha.com\/images\/social_share_button.png\" alt=\"Share\" class=\"linksalpha_image\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a><script type=\"text\/javascript\" src=\"\/\/www.linksalpha.com\/scripts\/loader_iconbox.js?v=2.4\"><\/script><\/span><\/div><p>This article, written by JOHN TIERNEY, appeared in The New York Times Science section on January 1, 2008. It is remarkable in that, for the first time, this newspaper is headlining what we have been saying all along: The Global Warming hysteria is just that.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[17,14,4],"tags":[529,1041,1032,1040,1045,1048,1034,1035,133,1033,1037,1052,1029,1036,1038,1044,409,120,1039,1051,1049,1046,1031,131,1030,1043,1047,1050,1042],"class_list":["post-419","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-environment","category-politics","category-science","tag-al-gore","tag-australia","tag-blizzard","tag-california","tag-cass-r-sunstein","tag-china-syndrome","tag-drought","tag-flood","tag-global-warming","tag-hurricane","tag-hurricane-katrina","tag-inconvenient-truth","tag-john-tierney","tag-jonah","tag-katrina","tag-kuran","tag-nasa","tag-nature","tag-new-orleans","tag-philosophical-transactions-of-the-royal-society","tag-polar-bears","tag-sunstein","tag-the-new-york-times","tag-three-mile-island","tag-tierney","tag-timur-kuran","tag-university-of-chicago","tag-university-of-colorado","tag-university-of-southern-california"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/419","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=419"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/419\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":549,"href":"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/419\/revisions\/549"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=419"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=419"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thrawnrickle.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=419"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}